Today's Polls

As I mentioned below, Markos' predictions are always seat-of-the-pants, but not his analysis. I'm sticking with my 60-40 scenario. But look at the new numbers through his lens.

Going off the Pollster.com averages, Obama currently wins [electoral college] 283-255, losing the Kerry states of Michigan and New Hampshire, and winning the Bush states of Iowa, Indiana, New Mexico, Colorado, and Ohio. If you give him a tiny 3-point "primary boost", he picks up Virginia and Michigan, for a 313-225 lead.