is about the continuing Republican meme that people lie to pollsters about whether they will vote for a black candidate, preferring to have some stranger calling you on the phone believe you are not racist.
Tom Bradley was the black man running for governor of California in 1982 who was expected to win and didn't. But his own pollster said the expecation was built upon faulty sampling and there was, actually, no Bradley effect.
Nate Silver at 538 has written about this, but apparently NPR hasn't heard about it becasue today they're pimping a story about it, which really pisses me off and I guess I'm going to have to listen and then blast a complaint.
Nate also responded to a right-wing critique of his analysis here, in case you want to get into the technicalities.
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