Monday, September 1, 2008

First, Ignore All Polls

Especially daily rolling polls, and national polls.

Second, take a look at the first big post-convention bounce. It's the first 50 percent mark Obama has received, and it's among registered voters, better than voters with a record of voting in previous presidential elections given the registration success this year.
Anyway, for what it's worth:
In the head-to-head race between the candidates, Obama now leads 50%-43% among registered voters. In the USA TODAY poll taken Aug. 21-23, the Illinois senator held a four-point lead.

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