Monday, June 1, 2009

The GOP's Latino Problem

Nate Silver via Andrew Sullivan:

In 2008, the Latino vote made the difference in the outcome of three states: New Mexico, where about 2 in 5 voters identify as Hispanic, as well as -- somewhat surprisingly -- Indiana and North Carolina -- where Obama lost nonhispanic voters by a tiny margin and was put over the top by Hispanic votes. It probably also made the difference, believe it or not, in the 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska -- Omaha actually has a decent-sized Hispanic minority -- although the exit polls aren't detailed enough to let us know for sure.
So this Sotomayor thing is nothing but a minefield for the GOP. And more than one commentator/blogger has proposed that this is exactly what Obama intended. The old Kabuki theme.

3 comments:

  1. I am unclear on what you mean by your use of the term "Kabuki theme". Kabuki theater has evolved many ways since its beginning and the word Kabuki can be associated with many of its parts: makeup, singing, dancing, the all female casts, the all male casts, etc. Can you provide a quick definition of how you are using this term?

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  2. In Kabuki, men played women and women played men. In other words, what you see is not what you get. Masquerade, if you will, although that's a little tame for the political theater.

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  3. "a way to denote an empty political performance" - interesting analysis from 2004 here.
    http://semanticcompositions.typepad.com/index/2004/06/languagehatcom.html

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